Pollster Kos Samaras: electoral soothsayer for endless immigration

When Angus Taylor proposed an Australian-values test for migrants, Kos remonstrated,he risked losing "diverse" urban voters who'd "already shifted" to Labor and independents:

Indian-Australian and Chinese-Australian voters have played a decisive role in metropolitan seats that shifted away from the Coalition in recent elections.

Too right. Why bother gerrymandering electoral boundaries, as they still do in the US states, when you can look to gerrymander the national electorate. Labor makes no secretof migrant-stacking Chinese and Indian electorates into Sydney and Melbourne. Nobody blinks.

Then recall, Albanese struck uniquely discriminatory qualifications-recognition and student-migration deals, in favour of Modi India. Nobody blinked – that too would be "racist".

When Taylor's budget-reply pitched for non-citizens to lose key welfare-benefits, a nostalgically-Greek Kos went into overdrive.

"Roughly 4.5 to 5 million" (one in six!) Australian residents are non-citizens, he advertised. At household level, migrant citizens vote "very deliberately" for their family's non-citizens. If Kos might be so bold, this "dooms" the Liberals. After the 2028 election, "someone else" (read bad-old One Nation) would be doing budget replies.

Dunno if Ancient Greece would ratify this expansively non-citizen "democracy". In a tactical revision, Kos claimed Taylor could motivate half a million non-citizens, to take the pledge.

Either way, he's got a good point. Why lead with complicated immigration changes, automatically drawing racism-charges from Albo's partisan Race Commissioner? Plus cliches of "scapegoating migrants" or "White Australia" from the Guardianand SMHchorus.

Taylor's budget speech, just like Chalmers, had ducked actual net-migration figures.

Quizzed by ABC, he punted for net-migration "below 200,000". That's not much lower than Labor's never-never (nominally 2027-28) target figure of 225,000.

Albanese will keep chugging on, at much higher levels. Forget about any 90,000 – and even that would still be a very sizeable 0.3% of population – or zero in net terms.

Are there any ways around Kos Theory?

Albanese's UN Labor Party doesn't preselect MPs who would (publicly) query open-borders net-zero doctrine. Liberals, as Kos underlines, are more divided, or is that more eclectic.