Pollster Kos Samaras: electoral soothsayer for endless immigration

Wealthy powers in the global north aren't buying our South Seas multicultural nirvana.

In the UK, net-migration has cratered to well under200,000, about 0.2% of their 70 million population. Canada's gone negativepopulation growth, relieving their painful rental crisis. Resource-rich Australia lingers as the only wealthy nationpursuing indiscriminate mass-migration – over 1% of population annually - as a defective economic strategy.

Other wealthy nations won't lean our way, in the 21^st century's strife-ridden AI-intensive world of job and energyshocks. Productivity growth is increasingly elusive, since the 2000s, even the 1970s. When a 100-year story of innovation, industrialisation, and productivity tapered off.

Australia's world immigration-anomaly isn't discussed, in our buzzy beehive of politicians, mandarins, media, and "stakeholders". A retro socioeconomic shift is intensifying - with giddy support from the upper classes - and uncertain pushback from conservative politics.

Samaras takes immigration soothsaying next level

As Australian Population Research Institute argues, the majority of voters are still conservative or patriotic at heart, but a strong and sizeable minority are what might be termed open Australians. They're more in syncwith the neoliberal agenda, open borders, and Labor's nominally "progressive" cultural values.

In that sense, failure of The Voice referendum is less surprising. Despite being sledged as racist by federal acronyms (ABC, SBS, HREOC) and the educated left, voters rejected the proposal 60-40. It lost every State and the NT, carrying only the ACT.

Drilling down to federal electorates reveals a different story. Privileged inner-city enclavesvery much wanted The Voice, versus the struggling burbs and regional Australia. It's this kind of division that Samaras taps into.

It matters not, if voters overallare fed up with mass migration. Not when the Coalition only holds "9 of 88" metro seats or "2 of 50" of the "most diverse", in the slanted Kos-sense of the most heavily migrant-origin.

In which case, observes Kos, with 150 seats in total, the only path back to government "runs through" these key city seats. Liberals can only reclaim them, he implies, by endorsing explosive immigration, like doublingthe Indian population in a decade.

Claimed Kos, 85% of Indian Australians voted Labor at the last election. Later conceding, 60-65% might be more credible.

Seemingly enlightened urban-Labor voters, he also claims, are "fundamentally unreceptive" to factualimmigration-housing linkages. Conveniently, they "understand" housing scarcity in terms of "investment structures" and "supply constraints".

Whereas the "threatened" personalities of revanchist Coalition voters are vulnerable to "simplified" causal narratives linking immigration and housing.