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AUKUS and the fear of war

By Chin Jin - posted Wednesday, 13 October 2021

The announcement of AUKUS, a trilateral defence deal between Australia, the UK and the US, provoked not only strong backlash from Chinese authorities but also some fear inside China of the Australians who opposed the pact. Those who have the experience of living or working in China for any length of time, or who maintain close connections with Chinese political, economic and academic elites may consider themselves deeply knowledgeable about China. In fact, they have little knowledge of China's current actual conditions. That is why they vehemently criticized the Morrison government's efforts to resist the expansion of the CCP.

According to reliable sources – insiders - the CCP has reached five consensuses on the current – dire – situation and has identified eight measures to deal with it.

The five consensuses are:


1. China-US relations cannot be repaired.

2. The current CCP ideology and universal values have reached the stage of decisive battle.

3. The containment of the CCP by Western countries has caused a crisis and a dangerous situation at home and abroad.

4. The domestic economic downturn will inevitably bring about various social conflicts and unrest.

5. To return to Mao's era of national lockdown would be to cut off the outside world.

The first three consensuses are international, including Sino-US relations, the confrontation between Chinese and Western values, and the West's containment of the CCP. The conflict between the CCP and the international community and modern civilization has reached the point where it is unavoidable and irreconcilable.


The last two consensuses address domestic problems. The domestic economy, which used to develop at a high speed (desperately maintaining a growth rate of 6 and 7 percent), no longer does so. Now all the problems and failures of the CCP have been exposed. Based on the above five consensuses, we can look at the current chaotic policies and the crackdown and observe the suppression of different industries and economic categories. There is only one ultimate goal for all these measures and campaigns: that it serves the "protection of the CCP regime".

The following eight measures have been designed in response to the five consensuses:

1. Ideologically – make a quick return to the fundamental principles of the CCP.

2. Put an end to the influence of all Western cultures.

3. Fight the oligarchic economy, reduce the middle class in the social ladder, and court the bottom masses.

4. Reduce the amount of free social life and strengthen the party's unified rule.

5. Strictly control public opinion and clean cyber spaces.

6. Compress private property and expand the government's financial resources.

7. Decentralize power and strengthen grass-roots law enforcement. (Neighbourhood, township and villages all have low-level law enforcement powers)

8. Control school education and enhance the effect of brainwashing.

Campaigning for these measures is currently in full swing. There will be more emergency measures launched. Their overall purpose is to strengthen social control, eradicate all Western influences, reduce unnecessary social expenditures, and prepare everyone to live a tight life in preparation for hard days. External expansion is not yet possible. Under the premise of increasing pressure from outside (Western) encirclement and suppression, the CCP can only shrink inwardly and retreat into its own country, eliminating any Western factors remaining, and implementing a highly unified and tightened rule under the CCP.

For example: luxury brands, food culture, cultural and artistic works with Western elements, Western festivals, etc., are all targets of the crackdown and will be gradually expunged. Further crackdowns on private capital to restrain the influence of private enterprises in the private sector is underway. There are still several rounds of rectification in the entertainment industry. Sooner or later, the time will return when the people at the bottom are strategically provoked to eradicate the middle class, and at that point the Cultural Revolution ideology will be employed to control the entire society. Quite rapidly, these measures will have all of China totally controlled (like Xinjiang).

Those inadequately informed critics believe that Australia's participation in AUKUS will make Australia a target of nuclear strikes by the CCP. If a military conflict occurs between the United States and China, perhaps China would not dare to attack the United States directly, but instead perhaps target Australia to warn the United States. This is an exaggeration of the CCP's retaliation for Australia's decision to participate in AUKUS.

Some guests on 60 Minutes Australia, War with China: Are we closer than we think? expressed their grave concerns that Australia should not create a face-off or a direct conflict with China, as it is very powerful and because Australia cannot have a war with colossal casualties.

This is a flawed judgement and a serious misunderstanding of the strength of the CCP. Instead, it is the West which frightens itself and amplifies the might of the CCP. The CCP is besieged on all sides by both internal and external troubles, and simply cannot afford a war that means it will be crushed by a multinational alliance. It also shows the lack of a basic understanding of the CCP's evil deeds and evil nature, and an inability to understand the CCP's bravado.

In fact, as long as the CCP can survive, it will not go to war. What Beijing is doing is bluffing in its threat to Taiwan. But once the CCP becomes aware of its own upcoming demise, military strikes on Taiwan could be inevitable. Of course, the result would be that Taiwan became scorched earth and the CCP itself would collapse. Xi Jinping and the CCP well know how to do the numbers.

History is repeating itself. The appeasement of the 1930s did not stop the war and aggression of Nazi Germany. Is it wisest to put out the fire immediately on hearing the alarm, or wait for the fire to grow into a raging inferno before calling the fire brigade? Faced with the drums of war, it is pointless to bury one's head in the sand. Far better to stand up bravely, and act firmly, to contain the threat of war. A stitch in time saves nine.

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About the Author

Dr Chin Jin is a maverick, activist, campaigner, essayist, freelancer, researcher and organizer with the vision to foresee a new post-Chinese Communist regime era that will present more cooperatively, more constructively and more appropriately to the Asia Pacific region and even the world.

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