Leading Australian economists wanting a review of the Reserve Bank of Australia have ignored fundamental questions. These are: do central banks do more harm than good, and is the nature of modern money best fit for the purpose in providing a medium of exchange that does the least harm?
Both these questions will be discussed at a London based free online Round Table on July 7th hosted by the Financial Services Club. The discussion is being chaired by Alderman Professor Michael Mainelli who last year was a Sheriff of London. Included in the discussion are two former advisors to the Bank of England, Emeritus Professors Charles Goodhart and Willem Buiter. The other speakers are Professor Andrew Hilton, the founding director of the Institute for the Study of Financial Innovations, and me.
The Financial Services Club has posted my article "Correcting Central Bank Failures" to provide a context for the discussion, and for the audience to raise questions and answers for the Round Table.
The question if the nature of money creates more harm than good was answered by Lord Stern in his 2006 report to the UK government. He concluded that Climate Change is "The biggest market failure the world has ever seen".This failure could be removed by a simplified form of "ecological" money.
As envisaged by Keynes, ecological money would only be a medium of exchange. It would not also be used as a store value because its negative interest makes the currency self-terminating like all forms of life. Ecological money would be further simplified as it not being a unit of account. Its value would be defined be a Sustainability Index (SI). Without eternal sustainability of humanity economic value becomes meaningless.
Negative interest self-terminating "Stamp Scrip" was privately issued by thousands of communities in North America and Europe during the Great Depression. It has privately emerged again in Europe since 2003.
Ecological money would remove the need for carbon taxing and/or trading to counter climate change. Inaddition, the cost of the financial system would be reduced. A century ago, the cost was less than 5% of GDP and now it is more than 20% of GDP. This is more than welfare payments in OECD countries. This indicates the potential for substantial cost savings and reduced inequality.
Inequality would be significantly reduced as poor home buyers pay more interest as the rich do not need to borrow. A simplified currency would introduce stability of a SI. With less uncertainty, trade and investment would flourish.
Market failure has arisen because the price of money is not pegged or defined to anything real. The International Accounting Standards Board has no definition for economic value. Instead, economic value has become a toxic self-referential belief system subject to irrational volatile markets and even Presidential tweets. This has allowed crypto tokens to emerge as fake money. Instead of countering market failure by introducing ecological money Central Banks are proposing to digitise toxic money.
In discussing Bitcoin, the co-inventor of the block chain, Dr Scott Stornetta raised the question: "is it simply an internet version of the Dutch tulip craze, an emotional bubble to be avoided at all costs?" Stornetta was cited three times in the eight references Satoshi Nakamoto included in his 2009 paper that introduced Bitcoins. Stornetta, in turn, cited your author before they met during his visit to Australia in April 2018.
The price signals created by Central Bank money has no basis to recognise the environmental costs of burning carbon, nor the toxic degradation of the atmosphere, soils, oceans, and biodiversity. Toxic money also fails to allocate resources to promote democratically controlled and locally owned resilient circular economies. Nor can toxic money provide incentives to nurture non-renewable resources to sustain humanity for eternity. Humanity is sleepwalking into a market driven oblivion.
Central Banks have failed to maintain financial system or price stability. The US Federal Reserve System has dramatically failed three times that resulted in government interventions in 1932, 1933 and 2008. The Economist cover story on 23rd April this year was "The Fed that Failed. In 2019, Mervyn King, the former Governor of the Bank of England stated: "The world economy is sleepwalking into a new financial crisis".
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