Bosnia, Erdogan’s 'Jerusalem at the heart of Europe'

For Erdogan, Bosnia occupies a special place and he will endeavor to maintain his image both as a religious leader and economic savior. That said, "Erdogan's list of priorities is growing, so Bosnia is inevitably descending on that list," said Hadzagic, "which will reduce [Erdogan's influence on] the state, NGO, and media organizations here in Bosnia. Consequently, it will lead to the reduction of Ankara's influence."

As such, Erdogan is increasing his focus on the local media outlets and non-governmental institutions in Bosnia by providing them with some financial aid to support his political agenda. But even that is becoming financially burdensome, making it more difficult to continue with his media campaign.

Sead Numanovic, a well-known journalist from Bosnia, told us that "The EU and US are still (and I fear they will continue to be) very passive in the Balkans, this environment gives an additional space for Erdogan to work easily on his anti-Western agenda." This explains why Erdogan's AK Party has recently opened an office in Sarajevo, its first official branch in the Balkans.

A spokesperson from the Turkish Embassy in Sarajevo told Foreign Policy that Turkey firmly supports the NATO and EU membership process of Bosnia and Herzegovina-"Turkey is not [in Bosnia] to seek influence, but to encourage political stability for the sake of the entire region." There is nothing further from the truth.

Xhemal Ahmeti, a historian and expert on Southeast European issues, said that Bosnia's Muslims currently are most loyal to the Turkish autocrat. "Bosnian Muslims have lost their hopes that their Trinitarian state will become an EU member. That's why they rely on Turkey to survive, given that they are sandwiched between Catholics, conservative Croats, and Orthodox jurisdictions", said Ahmeti. "Paradoxically, though, while the Bosnians Muslims seek Erdogan's protection from the Orthodox (Serbs and Russians), Erdogan's close allies are Putin and [Serbia's Prime Minister] Vucic."

Bosnian leaders and citizens must realize that Erdogan is moving ever closer to Russia and Iran. The EU has already made it clear that since full adherence to its charter, especially regarding human rights, freedom, and democracy, are prerequisites to EU membership, Bosnia must not cozy up to Erdogan because he has flagrantly abandoned the EU's founding principles, and the development of a full-fledged democracy in Bosnia does not serve his interest.

It is now up to the Bosnian leaders to determine their own destiny, which must inexorably be linked to full membership with the EU if they want to grow and prosper while embracing full democracy.

This does not suggest that they should sever relations with Turkey as a regional power, with which they will need to intensify the development of a mutually gainful relationship once Erdogan departs the political scene.

In the interim, they must be cautious in their dealings with Erdogan, who manipulates them by using Islam to pursue his sinister political agenda.