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Democratic transition in Thailand

By Keith Suter - posted Tuesday, 13 May 2014


Thailand is also a major car manufacturer, especially for Japanese car producers. The motor car sector represents about 10 per cent of Thailand's economy. Again, the military cannot be relied upon to ensure car production and the smooth running of factories.

The bottom line, then, is that the military can provide immediate stability but it cannot guarantee the freedom of thought and capital that is necessary for a modern economy to flourish. That is why so many fascist dictatorships (such as in Taiwan, South Korea and Indonesia) have made way for democracies.

My advice to the Yellow Shirts: learn from Bismarck

First, the Yellow Shirts should acknowledge that the tide of history is flowing towards democracy. As a society develops, modernizes and becomes wealthier, so people want a say in how the country is governed.

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Second, therefore the Yellow Shirts should get involved in the game of politics – rather than boycott it. They cannot put the clock back to small elite running the country. Times have changed.

Third, the Yellow Shirts should learn from some of the figures of history who were also caught up (perhaps against their will and personal preference) in the flowing tide of history. They managed to go with the tide and yet also maintain their power.

For instance, German conservative chancellor (prime minister) Otto von Bismarck invented the idea of a government-financed welfare state in the 1880s. In 1889, for example, he created the first old age pension for people aged 70 and over. Bismarck stole the ideas of left-wing thinkers to remain in power by creating policies to appeal to the voters.

The Yellow Shirts should learn from Bismarck: get involved in the game of politics and learn how to win it.

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About the Author

Dr Keith Suter is a futurist, thought leader and media personality in the areas of social policy and foreign affairs. He is a prolific and well-respected writer and social commentator appearing on radio and television most weeks.

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