Figure 1 Variation of cancer rate with radiation dose
The radiation hormesis theory (i.e low dose radiation is beneficial) gets some indication, a hint only – in some ranges, but over time, over the whole range. that connection evaporated and the results show systematic linear harm.
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In 2000 the Foundation published another report with separate dose-response graphs for Hiroshima and Nagasaki .Results from Nagasaki and Hiroshima are slightly different. Hormesis advocates will try to point out a beneficial dose and might point out a single data point in the Nagasaki only cohort. But in Hiroshima with twice as large cohort, such a dip does not exist. The whole curve is far more linear and finds no dose below zero risk. When the two are combined the linear relationship between doses and cancer risk is clear, and with such a large number of people is a reliable result.
Non linearity at lowest dose may indicate that radiation is more harmful at the lowest dose
Figure 2 Radiation risk atomic survivors
Radiation induced genetic damage has been found to be higher at low doses. This further supports the likelihood that lower doses are more harmful. The clear signal supports the accepted linear theory and supports the consensus on risk modelling world wide.
The Goddard analysis concludes with a warning about the dangers of public policy being made on unreliable and flimsy research reports. "Ethical radiation policy experts don't play Russian roulette with public safety."
Two of the atomic bomb survivor scientists with the report said:
In the presence of available data it is neither sound statistical interpretation nor prudent risk evaluation to presume that lower range is safe due to lack of statistical information in that range.
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It's a pity that this 14th report of a huge and comprehensive study of radiation risk gets little or no mass media coverage, while those DOE - funded small and flawed projects are publicised and used to justify dangerous public health policy changes. I hope that the genuine scientific community is aware of this, and will respond to this situation.
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