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So now Kyoto is a reality, will it get cooler?

By Jennifer Marohasy - posted Wednesday, 16 February 2005


Interestingly there has also been a slight decrease in the number of cyclones occurring in the Australian region.

The increase in insurance claims is real, but actually attributable to a dramatic increase in the number of people living by the sea and building more expensive homes in these more hurricane and cyclone prone areas, rather than an increase in the number or severity of extreme weather events.

I am not suggesting that we shouldn’t do something about the real increase in carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels. But I also think something should be done about the extent of the misinformation, much of it spread in the name of doing the right thing by the environment. We may live in the information age and all be concerned about the environment and climate change, but our level of concern is only exceeded by our ignorance of the dynamic nature of climate.

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So Kyoto is now legally binding, and we may at last be able to see a reduction in global carbon dioxide emission. But this will not stop climate change. As surely as night follows day, and winter follows autumn, there will be another ice age.

Our governments would do well to put some time and resources aside to think and plan for this. A dramatic drop in temperature will be felt a lot harder by the world’s fauna and flora than the average 0.6°C global temperature increase that has occurred over the last 150 years. Here perhaps is a new campaign for Greenpeace - how to protect biodiversity from the next ice-age?

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About the Author

Jennifer Marohasy is a senior fellow with the Institute for Public Affairs.

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